Gold prices surpassed the US$5,500 mark per troy ounce this Thursday (29), registering a new all-time high in Asian negotiations. The rise was directly driven by statements from the president of the Estados Unidos, Donald Trump, who renewed pressure on the Iranian government to negotiate a nuclear agreement. The precious metal reached US$5,588.71 at certain times of the day.
The escalation of geopolitical tensions in Oriente Médio contributed to the search for assets considered safe. Investidores reacted to Trump’s posts on the Truth Social platform, where he warned that a next attack could be more severe if Teerã does not advance in negotiations.
Oil also recorded significant gains, with Brent a barrel surpassing US$70 amid concerns about possible supply disruptions in the region. Bolsas Asian stocks opened lower, reflecting widespread risk aversion in the markets.
Movements in metals markets
Gold rose by more than US$300 in just a few hours of trading, consolidating an upward trajectory observed over the last few weeks. Analistas highlight that the metal responds quickly to political uncertainties, functioning as a store of value in periods of instability.
Silver followed the movement and registered a significant appreciation, although to a lesser extent than gold. Ambos metals attracted institutional and retail purchases, increasing the volume traded on the main commodity exchanges.
Trump statements and nuclear context
Donald Trump used his social network to demand that Irã resume talks about the country’s nuclear program. Ele explicitly mentioned the possibility of more intense military actions, referring to operations carried out in the past.
Iranian authorities responded by reinforcing that any aggression would be met immediately. The deployment of American warships to Oriente Médio, including the aircraft carrier USS Abraham Lincoln, has increased the perception of risk in the region.
Iran’s nuclear program remains under international monitoring, with Western countries maintaining that it may harbor military intentions. Teerã maintains that the activities are for exclusively peaceful and energetic purposes.
Impact on oil and supply chains
Oil futures contracts Brent advanced around 5% throughout the day, reaching levels not seen since August. West Texas Intermediate followed a similar trajectory, with gains that exceeded 4% in relation to the previous close.
Operators priced in an additional risk premium due to the concentration of production at Oriente Médio. Qualquer disruption in Estreito of Ormuz would directly affect the global flow of crude oil.
- Main factors for the rise in oil:
- Increased tensions between the US and Irã
- American naval mobilization in the region
- Persistent demand for instability hedges
- Inventory reduction observed in weekly reports
Producing countries closely monitor developments, adjusting supply strategies as necessary.
Reaction of Asian stock markets
The main indices of Ásia registered significant drops at the opening of trading sessions. The Nikkei, at Tóquio, fell more than 2%, while the Hang Seng, at Hong Kong, lost similar ground.
Shanghai and Seul also operated in the red, with investors migrating to lower-risk assets. Sydney and Jacarta followed the general negative movement.
Caution prevailed after the American statements, combined with regional economic indicators. Trading volume has increased significantly in all financial centers.
Structural factors behind gold’s rise
Experts point out that the loss of confidence in traditional monetary policies contributes to the gold rally. The metal is no longer just a protection against inflation and starts to function as an alternative in scenarios of geopolitical uncertainty.
Stephen Innes, a market analyst, noted that the current movement does not reflect fears of an immediate recession. Instead, it represents a direct response to the deterioration of relations between Washington and Teerã.
The US dollar showed volatility, but failed to contain demand for gold. Bancos plants in several countries continue to accumulate the metal in their official reserves.
Military deployments in the Oriente Médio
The Estados Unidos maintain a fleet of ten warships positioned in the area, reinforcing their strategic presence. The recent arrival of the USS Abraham Lincoln has raised the level of alert among Iranian commanders.
Tehran has held additional military exercises in recent days, demonstrating responsiveness. Autoridades locals claim that the national territory is prepared to defend itself against any incursion.
- Elements of American mobilization:
- USS Abraham Lincoln aircraft carrier
- Ten support and escort ships
- Embarked combat aircraft
- Advanced missile defense systems
The international community is following the events, with calls for restraint coming from various capitals.
Perspectives for the next trading sessions
Operators await new signals from both Washington and Teerã in the coming hours. Qualquer diplomatic progress could ease pressure on commodity prices.
Gold maintains technical support at levels near $5,400, with immediate resistance above $5,600. Analistas project continued volatility as long as uncertainties persist.
The oil market remains sensitive to news about transport routes in the Golfo Pérsico. Global Estoques remains monitored to assess long-term impacts.
Behavior of other safe assets
American Tesouro bonds registered high demand, putting downward pressure on yields. The Japanese yen and the Swiss franc also appreciated against the dollar.
Cryptocurrencies showed mixed performance, without being able to attract the same flow seen in gold. Investidores institutions prioritized traditional assets in times of tension.
Silver, often correlated with gold, reached prices not seen in years. Sua dual industrial and value store function supported the gains observed.
Analysis by international experts
Ray Dalio, a recognized mega-investor, commented at a recent event that the current rally may indicate structural change in the markets. Ele differentiates short-term speculation from longer-lasting trends.
Other managers highlight that the high interest rate environment in the Estados Unidos was unable to contain the rise in gold. Isso reinforces the thesis that geopolitical factors outweigh monetary influences at the current moment.
Financial institutions review projections for the metal throughout 2026. Algumas houses are already working with scenarios above US$6,000 per troy ounce in case of further escalation.
Global tension monitoring
International organizations maintain open channels for mediation between the parties involved. Agência Internacional of Energia Atômica continues its regular inspections of Irã.
European countries expressed concern about possible impacts on energy trade. Multilateral Diálogo remains the preferred path to resolving the nuclear impasse.
The situation is evolving quickly, with constant updates from the authorities involved. Mercados globals adjust positions as new information emerges.
