The San Antonio Spurs arrive pressured but confident at Madison Square Garden for Game 4 of the NBA Finals this Wednesday (10). After the 115-111 victory in Game 3, the team is looking to tie the series at 2-2 against the New York Knicks, who lead 2-1 and want to open up a decisive lead at home.
Victor Wembanyama was the big name in the last game, with 32 points, eight rebounds and six assists. The Frenchman should once again be the Spurs’ offensive engine, exploiting the paint against the Knicks quintet. On the New York side, Jalen Brunson bears the responsibility of leading the attack in search of a victory that puts the team one game away from the title.
Predictions for game 4
Most analysts and simulation models point to the Knicks as favorites at home, with odds of around 1.75 on a single win and a spread of around 1.5 to 2.5 points. The projected total points are around 215.5, with a tendency towards Under according to projections that consider the first two games of the series.
A solid bet is for the Knicks to win by a small margin, something like 109 to 106, exploiting the control of the court and the pressure from the fans. For Spurs, the path to victory goes through another great performance from Wembanyama and collective contribution in rebounding and defense.
Probable lineups
New York Knicks:Jalen Brunson, Mikal Bridges, Josh Hart, OG Anunoby and Karl-Anthony Towns. Coach: Mike Brown.San Antonio Spurs:De’Aaron Fox, Stephon Castle, Jeremy Sochan, Harrison Barnes and Victor Wembanyama. Coach: Gregg Popovich.
The formations of the last game confirm the strength of the Knicks’ starting core and Castle’s good form alongside Wembanyama at Spurs.
Where to watch live
Transmission in Brazil is the responsibility ofPrime Video, scheduled to start at 9:30 pm (Brasília time). In the United States, the game airs on ABC. Subscribers still have NBA League Pass.
History and recent context
The Knicks dominated the first two games in San Antonio, but the Spurs showed progress by winning away from home in Game 3. The home court has weighed heavily on the series. A victory for the home team today could secure the title, while a draw puts the pressure back on the games in San Antonio.
Results of the latest games and trends
Spurs are coming off an important victory, but with an irregular campaign away from home in the playoffs. Knicks accumulate a positive streak at home and seek to regain their initial rhythm in the final. The Wembanyama x Knicks big-box duel (Towns and Anunoby) should decide a large part of the game.
