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Tropical Depression Cristina weakens but could cross into the Atlantic like Arthur

Tempestade, relâmpago
Tempestade, relâmpago - Martin Erdniss/shutterstock.com

Cristina has weakened and is now classified as a tropical depression, but the system still has the potential to become a rare transition event, jumping from the Pacific Ocean to the Atlantic.

The National Hurricane Center, in its 3 pm US Central Time bulletin this Wednesday, June 10, reported that Tropical Depression Cristina is moving toward the coast of El Salvador.

Some of the moisture and energy linked to Cristina is expected to attempt to cross Mexico and emerge into the Gulf of Mexico in the coming days. It must be remembered that the environment along the way is quite unfavorable for tropical systems, and most similar attempts end up dissipating without being able to reorganize.

However, the European model still indicates that at least part of this energy can resist and favor tropical development in the Gulf. If this happens, the phenomenon would become the first named storm of the 2026 Atlantic season: Arthur.

It is relatively unusual to follow a system that has a chance of passing from Cristina, in the Pacific, to Arthur, in the Atlantic, which makes the case worthy of attention in the coming days.

Potential impacts in the southeastern United States

For the American Southeast, the most relevant aspect is the greater atmospheric pattern. Regardless of whether Arthur forms, an intense flow from south to north is expected to bring more tropical moisture to the region next week, between June 14th and 20th. This means higher relative humidity and more frequent afternoon and evening rain showers. There is no reason to cancel trips or outdoor plans as there will still be dry periods during the day, although the likelihood of rain increases.

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