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Strategy holds 687 thousand bitcoins and analysts debate real risk of bankruptcy in 2026

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bitcoin - Foto: Julio Ricco/ shutterstock

Strategy, a company listed on Nasdaq under the ticker MSTR and formerly known as MicroStrategy, maintains a significant position in the cryptocurrency market by holding 687,410 bitcoins in its treasury. Essa reserve, acquired through an aggressive accumulation strategy that began in 2020, currently represents billions of dollars in market value, with bitcoin priced at close to 96 thousand dollars.

In the first days of January 2026, the company made its largest purchase since July of the previous year, adding 13,627 bitcoins for approximately 1.25 billion dollars. Essa operation increased the total number of holdings and reinforced the company’s commitment to the digital asset as a main store of value.

The market is closely following this approach led by executive Michael Saylor, especially in a context of bitcoin volatility. Analistas assess whether the financial structure of Strategy supports this exposure without high risks of insolvency.

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Recent Bitcoin Acquisitions

Strategy announced on January 12, 2026 the purchase of 13,627 bitcoins between the 5th and 11th of the month. The average price paid was approximately US$91,519 per unit, using resources from share issues and perpetual preferred shares.

This transaction increased the total reserve to 687,410 bitcoins, with an average historical acquisition cost of around $75,000 per bitcoin. The operation demonstrates continuous capacity to access capital even in periods of fluctuation in the asset’s price.

The company maintains an active ATM share sales program, which allows for quick fundraising in the market. Essa tool has been used to finance acquisitions without the need to sell existing bitcoins.

Financing structure adopted

Strategy uses three main channels to raise funds for the purchase of bitcoins. Esses mechanisms allow flexibility in different market conditions.

  • Securities convertible into shares, issued at high premiums over the current share price, offering low or zero interest.
  • Perpetual preferred shares, which attract investors focused on fixed income with no maturity date.
  • ATM program for sales of common shares, which provides immediate liquidity according to market demand.

This combination has allowed continuous accumulation since 2020. The company has already fully redeemed previous series of convertible bonds through natural conversions when the share price exceeded established levels.

Balance Sheet Details

The balance of Strategy shows 687,410 bitcoins without specific guarantee, valued at approximately 66 billion dollars with bitcoin at 96 thousand dollars. Do On the other hand, the total debt in convertible bonds amounts to around 8.2 billion dollars, with maturities concentrated from 2028 onwards.

The loan-to-value ratio, considering only debt, is below 15%. Mesmo including preferred shares, the indicator remains at conservative levels compared to market standards.

The company maintains a cash reserve of more than 2 billion dollars, enough to cover annual interest and dividend obligations for more than two years without touching bitcoins. Contabilidade of fair value allows bilateral variations in results, unlike previous unilateral impairment rules.

Current valuation on the stock market

Strategy shares currently trade in the range of 175 to 190 dollars, with high daily liquidity. The price reflects a discount in relation to the net value of the assets, being below the NAV per bitcoin held.

This discount arose after periods in which the stock traded at a significant premium. The change reflects market caution regarding bitcoin’s volatility and dilution by issuances.

Recent trading shows partial recovery after purchase announcements. High Volume facilitates ATM withdrawals even at current price levels.

MSCI Decision on Indices

MSCI announced in January 2026 the maintenance of companies with treasury in digital assets in its main indices. The decision prevented forced sales estimated at billions of dollars by passive funds.

Previously, analysts projected the possible exclusion of Strategy from February. The hold removed short-term technical pressure on the stock.

The resolution favors stability for long-term holders. Fundos indexes remain allocated without the need for immediate forced rebalancing.

Available pickup channels

The Strategy has multiple options to obtain additional resources if necessary. Títulos current convertibles are out of the money, trading as pure credit with moderate yields.

Preferred shares offer a fixed annual yield of about 8% to 10%, with no redemption obligation. Essas series attract income-focused institutional investors.

ATM program remains active and has already demonstrated effectiveness in recent fundraising of hundreds of millions. Liquidez of the stock supports high volumes without excessive price impact.

Bitcoin-secured loan options are available from specialized institutions, although not currently used. Esses lenders apply conservative LTV ratios of 30% to 40%.

Cash position and annual obligations

Cash reserves exceed 2.1 billion dollars after recent funding. Esse amount covers annual interest payments and preferential dividends for an extended period.

Annual fixed obligations are around 850 million dollars, mainly made up of preferred dividends. Juros on convertible bonds represents small fraction due to low coupons.

The structure does not have a maturity wall until 2028. Isso provides time for adjustments as the price of bitcoin evolves.

Risks monitored by the market

Analysts point out that a significant risk would require a prolonged drop in bitcoin to levels between 30 thousand and 40 thousand dollars. Nesse scenario, LTV ratio would rise, but would still remain manageable with controlled sales.

A prolonged period of stagnation at intermediate levels would test investors’ patience. Acesso the capital could be reduced without a premium on the share.

Probability of insolvency remains low according to credit models. Estrutura has demonstrated resilience in previous cycles of strong bitcoin correction.

Historical evolution of reserves

Strategy began accumulating bitcoin in 2020 with modest initial purchases. Desde then, holdings grew consistently through innovative fundraising.

Multiplication of the share price in periods of bitcoin’s rise allowed advantageous issuances. Conversões holders of securities redeemed debts without outlaying cash.

Average acquisition cost reflects prices from different cycles. Current Valor significantly exceeds the total historical cost paid.

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