Chelsea x Barcelona predictions: home victory, goals and broadcast of today’s game By Beatriz
4 min read
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Chelsea hosts Barcelona this Tuesday, November 25, 2025, in the fifth round of the UEFA Champions League league phase. The match takes place at the Stamford Bridge stadium, in Londres, starting at 5pm at Brasília time. Ambas teams are looking for points to advance in the tournament, where they occupy close positions in the table.
The clash brings together two teams in good form in the national championships, but with mixed results in the Europa. Chelsea, second in Premier League, has not lost in five home games in the competition. Já o Barcelona, second in the La Liga, leads in goals scored in the Champions, with 12 in four matches.
- Chelsea has seven points in the UCL, with two wins, one draw and one defeat.
- Barcelona also has seven points, but with a better goal difference (+5 compared to +2 for the English).
- Recent history: in the last eight duels for Champions, Chelsea has not lost to Barça.
The live broadcast is carried out by SBT, TNT and HBO Max on Brasil, allowing free access or via streaming. The referee will be Slovenian Slavko Vinčić, known for his firm conduct in high-level matches.
History of clashes sets expectations
The teams have faced each other 14 times in Champions League since 2000, with four wins for each side and six draws. The last match, in 2018, ended in a 4-1 aggregate victory for the Catalans in the semi-finals.
In Stamford Bridge, Barcelona won just one of the last seven visits, suffering defensive difficulties away from home. Esses data suggests a close game, with the local factor favoring Chelsea.
The historical balance reinforces guesses in tight results, such as draws or minimal victories.
Embezzlements and lineups influence bets
Chelsea loses striker Cole Palmer, injured with a broken little finger after a domestic accident. The likely lineup includes: Petrovic; James, Fofana, Colwill, Cucurella; Caicedo, Enzo Fernández; Madueke, Nkunku, João Pedro; Jackson.
In Barcelona, Pedri remains out due to a muscle injury, but Robert Lewandowski returns in form, with five goals in the last four games. The team must enter: Ter Stegen; Koundé, Cubarsí, Iñigo Martínez, Balde; De Jong, Casadó, Olmo; Yamal, Lewandowski, Raphinha.
These absences open up space for bets on alternative players, such as João Pedro scoring for Chelsea.
The London midfield gains strength with Enzo Fernández, which distributes 2.5 decisive passes per game. No Catalan attack, Lamine Yamal, aged 18, already has three assists in the UCL.
Predictions for the score and main markets
Analysts point to an open game, with an average of 4.8 goals in the last 20 games for Barcelona in Champions. Chelsea, meanwhile, have scored in all five of their European home clashes this season.
Common guesses include a 2-2 draw, reflecting the balance. Outra option is over 2.5 goals, with a probability of 62% based on recent statistics.
- Chelsea victory: odds around 2.41, favored by field control.
- Draw: odds of 4.00, in line with the history of six draws in 14 games.
- Barcelona wins: 2.70, driven by prolific attack.
These markets attract bettors due to their unpredictability, with a focus on goals from both sides.
Odds and tips for experienced bettors
Bookmakers see parity, with no clear favorite. Lewandowski to score at any time comes with odds of 2.20, given his recent efficiency.
João Pedro, on a scoring streak, offers value in shots on target, with a quote of 1.83. For the game as a whole, both scores (BTTS) have 1.70, considering that Barcelona did not maintain a clean sheet in the UCL.
Bettors should monitor Asian handicap lines, such as Chelsea 0 (1.90), to cover a draw.
Current moment of the teams in the season
Chelsea and Barcelona remain unbeaten in November in the domestic league, with the English team having not conceded a goal in the Premier League for four rounds. Na UCL, the 2-2 draw against Qarabag exposed defensive weaknesses.
Barcelona drew 3-3 at Brugge, but beat Athletic Bilbao 4-0 at La Liga, showing offensive versatility. Esses recent performances support predictions of more than 3.5 goals, with odds of 2.50.
The rotation of Enzo Maresca in Chelsea prioritizes balance, while Hansi Flick bets on high pressure in Barça.
Broadcast and preparations for the game
Fans at Brasil can access the duel via SBT from 4:30 pm, with pre-game. TNT and HBO Max offer HD and replay options.
Stamford Bridge receives 40 thousand fans, with tickets sold out for weeks. Condições weather conditions in Londres indicate dry weather, favoring fluid football.
Final predictions reinforce the expectation of a spectacle, with a focus on safe bets such as goals from Lewandowski.
