Norway arrives as the overwhelming favorite against Iraq this Tuesday (16), in the opening match of Group I of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. The clash at Gillette Stadium, in Foxborough (USA), starts at 7pm (Brasília time) and should mark the Norwegians’ return to the tournament after 28 years.
Bookmakers reinforce the favoritism of the European team, with odds of around 1.20 for victory. Iraq, back after 40 years of absence, appears as an underdog with odds above 10.00.
Main prediction: Norway wins with a margin
Most analysts point to a comfortable victory for Norway by two or more goals difference. The team led by Ståle Solbakken comes from undefeated European qualifiers and with high offensive power, driven by Erling Haaland. Iraq, even resilient, must suffer to contain the Nordic attack.
Over goals must be painted at Gillette
Another recurring guess is that of more than 2.5 goals in the match. Norway averaged more than four goals per game in the qualifiers, and the attacking style with Haaland, Martin Ødegaard and Alexander Sørloth tends to exploit gaps in the Iraqi defense. Most cited score: 1 to 3 or 0 to 3.
Other good betting options
- Do both teams score?Tendency towards “no”, as Iraq may prioritize closed marking and have difficulty reaching the attack.
- Haaland scores at any time:Attractive odds, considering the top scorer’s form.
- Norway wins without conceding a goal:Defensive option for those who believe in total control of the Europeans.
Probable lineups and key duels
Iraq (4-2-3-1):F. Talib; H. Ali, R. Sulaka, Z. Tahseen, M. Doski; A. Al-Ammari, Z. Iqbal; I. Bayesh, A. Jasim, A. Al-Hamadi; A. Hussein.
Norway (4-3-3):THE. Nyland; J. Ryerson, K. Ajer, T. Heggem, D. M. Wolfe; M. Ødegaard, P. Berg, F. Aursnes; A. Sørloth, E. Haaland, A. Nusa.
The duel between Ødegaard and the Iraqi midfield, in addition to the constant pressure on Haaland, should set the pace. Referee Pierre Ghislain Atcho will command the game.
Group I Context
With France and Senegal in the same group, Norway needs a convincing debut to gain momentum. Iraq is looking for at least one point that would already be historic, but the statistics point to difficulties.
Where to watch live
Broadcast in Brazil is carried out by Betano, Prime Video and YouTube CazéTV. Follow updates in real time.
