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Why is the Moon moving away from Earth at 3.8 cm per year and what does this mean?

Lua e Planeta Terra
Photo: Lua e Planeta Terra - muratart/shutterstock.com

Lua is moving away from Terra at an average rate of 3.8 centimeters per year, a phenomenon confirmed by laser measurements since the 1970s. The process occurs due to the gravitational interaction between the two bodies and the friction of ocean tides. Esse gradual movement already accumulates measurable effects and projects significant changes on scales of millions of years.

Scientists from NASA and international observatories have been following the phenomenon for decades. The transfer of angular momentum from the Terra to the Lua propels the satellite into higher orbits. The process is slow but constant.

How the removal mechanism works

Tidal friction slows the Earth’s rotation. Parte of the planet’s rotational energy is transferred to the lunar orbit.

This mechanism follows the law of conservation of angular momentum in the system Terra-Lua. The tidal force creates a torque that pushes the Moon away while braking Terra.

Precise measurements use reflectors left behind by the Apollo missions on the lunar surface. Lasers sent from Terra measure distance to the nearest millimeter.

Impact on the length of days

The rotation of Terra loses about 1.7 milliseconds per century. Há 600 million years ago, the Earth day lasted approximately 21 hours.

In about 50 thousand years, the day will be 1 minute longer than the current 24 hours. Daqui 200 million years ago, the day could last 25 hours.

Change occurs imperceptibly on a human scale. Fósseis of ancient corals confirm shorter days in the geological past.

Planeta Terra, Lua
Planeta Terra, Lua – Foto: D-VISIONS/ Shutterstock.com

Expected effects on ocean tides

The gravitational force of Lua decreases with the square of the distance. Marés highs and lows tend to have less amplitude over time.

Regions with broad tides, such as Baía to Fundy, to Canadá, will see a gradual reduction in variation. Ecossistemas of mangroves and estuaries will feel the first impacts.

  • Average tidal amplitude should fall by around 20% in 100 million years
  • Lower mixing of nutrients in coastal oceans
  • Change in coastal erosion and sedimentation patterns
  • Possible impact on species that depend on the tidal cycle for reproduction

Stability of the earth’s axis in check

The Lua acts as a stabilizer for the rotation axis of the Terra. Sem this effect, the axial inclination would vary more, similar to what occurs in Marte.

Larger swings in slope would trigger extreme climate change. Períodos glacial and intense warming would alternate more frequently.

Studies indicate that current stabilization maintains the slope at around 23.5 degrees. With Lua further away, this effect will gradually diminish.

Projection for final balance

The separation will continue until the system reaches a new equilibrium. The Lua should stabilize at around 550 thousand kilometers from the Terra, compared to the current 384 thousand kilometers.

At this point, the Earth’s rotation and the lunar orbital period will become synchronized. Um Earth day will last about 47 current days, equal to the lunar month.

The process will take billions of years to complete. Sol will become red giant before full equilibrium is reached.

The phenomenon demonstrates the dynamic evolution of the Terra-Moon system. Pesquisas continue to refine measurements and long-term projections.