World Bank predicts growth of 1.6% for Brazil in 2026, behind 13 Latin American countries; Paraguay, Panama, Guatemala among others at the front

Bandeira do brasil na sacada do prédio
Photo: Bandeira do brasil na sacada do prédio - Brunomartinsimagens/ iStock

The Brazilian economy is expected to grow by 1.6% in 2026, an index that places it in 14th position among Latin American countries. The projections are from the World Bank and indicate that the country will lag behind several other nations in the region in the coming years.

Nations with the highest projected growth

The World Bank’s projections for 2026 highlight some Latin American economies with growth rates significantly higher than Brazil’s. The top of the list is occupied by countries with strong predicted performance.

  • Paraguay: 4.4%
  • Panama: 3.9%
  • Guatemala: 3.7%
  • Costa Rica: 3.6%
  • Honduras: 3.4%
  • Nicaragua: 3.4%

Other nations that are also expected to surpass Brazil in growth by 2026, according to the financial institution, include the Dominican Republic, El Salvador, Peru, Ecuador, Chile and Colombia. These countries are listed among the economies that should register a more robust performance than Brazil.

Implications of moderate growth for Brazil

Growth of 1.6%, although positive, places Brazil below most of its continental neighbors. For Latin America’s largest economy, a slower pace could signal challenges in creating jobs, attracting investment and recovering key sectors. Maintaining growth below that of other nations in the region can affect the competitiveness and optimism of economic agents.

Understanding World Bank projections

The World Bank, one of the main international financial institutions, has as its main mission the reduction of poverty and support for development in low- and middle-income countries. Its economic projections are widely used by governments, investors and analysts to outline scenarios and define public policies and market strategies. The estimates reflect analyzes of macroeconomic factors, fiscal and monetary policies, as well as external scenarios that could impact regional performance.

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