France is a strong favorite to beat Iraq this Monday (22), in the second round of Group I of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. The game takes place at the Lincoln Financial Field, in Philadelphia (USA), at 6 pm (Brasília time). Analysts and bookmakers project a convincing victory for the Europeans, who are seeking early classification.
After beating Senegal 3-1 in their debut, France arrives with high morale. Kylian Mbappé, already with two goals in the competition, is the highlight. Didier Deschamps’ team must control the game from start to finish against an Iraq that lost in the first round and needs a miracle to score.
Main predictions for the confrontation
- Final result: France wins (odds around 1.10 to 1.15)
- Most likely score: France 3 x 0 Iraq or 3 x 1
- Mbappé scores: Yes (main scorer of the match)
- Both teams score: No (France must maintain a solid defense)
- Over 2.5 goals: Yes (French attack has high offensive potential)
The numbers show the disparity: France occupies 3rd place in the FIFA rankings, while Iraq is in 57th position. Recent history and current form reinforce the expectation of a game dominated by the French.
Strategy and lineups that influence predictions
Deschamps should maintain the 4-2-3-1 with Mike Maignan; Koundé, Saliba, Upamecano, Digne; Rabiot, Koné; Olise, Dembélé (or Barcola), Mbappé. The fast and creative attack favors many goals. Iraq, in 4-4-2 with Hassan; compact defensive line and Hussein/Al-Hamadi up front, should close, but tends to give up spaces.
This configuration allows France to explore the sides of the field and create constant chances. Iraq is betting on counterattacks, but French technical quality should prevail. A victory by two or more goals difference is a likely scenario.
Impact on Group I
With Norway also having 3 points in the first round, France can take the lead or guarantee a place in the round of 16 with a victory. Iraq, at zero, is at serious risk of early elimination if it does not achieve at least an unlikely draw. The duel is seen as “David against Goliath”.
Where to watch and details
The live broadcast is carried out by CazéTV on YouTube, with options on Betano and Prime Video. Referee: Drew Fischer (Canada). The stadium should have a good audience, with Brazilian and international fans present in Philadelphia.