Tropical Storm Jerry is gaining strength in the Atlantic Ocean, according to the National Hurricane Center (NHC). Located east of the Leeward Islands, the storm is moving west-northwest at 20 mph with sustained winds of 65 mph and a minimum central pressure of 999 mb. The NHC forecasts Jerry could become a hurricane as early as Thursday, October 9, 2025. While no direct impact is expected for Florida or the U.S., ongoing monitoring is essential.
Jerry is expected to bring 2 to 4 inches of rain to the Leeward Islands from Thursday into Friday, raising concerns about flash flooding. Areas under watch include Antigua, Barbuda, Anguilla, St. Kitts, Nevis, Montserrat, St. Barthelemy, St. Martin, Sint Maarten, Saba, St. Eustatius, and Guadeloupe. Swells generated by the storm may cause life-threatening surf and rip currents.
- Maximum sustained winds: 65 mph
- Minimum central pressure: 999 mb
- Movement: West-northwest at 20 mph
- Expected rainfall: 2 to 4 inches
Jerry’s path and intensification
Jerry is projected to shift northwest later today, slowing slightly on Friday and Saturday. Tropical storm conditions are expected in the watch areas starting Thursday.
Residents should prepare for heavy rainfall and potential flooding. Local authorities are on alert to mitigate impacts.
Other systems under watch
In the Bay of Campeche, disorganized showers and thunderstorms are affecting southern Mexico. The chance of development remains near 0% for the next 48 hours and 7 days.
In the North Atlantic, Invest 96-L, a gale-force non-tropical low west-northwest of the Azores, has a 10% chance of subtropical or tropical development within 48 hours.
Dangerous swells and flooding risks
Swells from Jerry are expected to reach the Leeward Islands today, creating hazardous beach conditions. The NHC warns of potentially deadly rip currents.
Authorities urge avoiding coastal areas and following safety guidelines. Protective measures are being implemented across the islands.
2025 hurricane season
The Atlantic hurricane season, running from June 1 to November 30, remains active. Jerry is the latest system to form, underscoring the need for constant vigilance.
Systems like Invest 96-L highlight the season’s unpredictability. Meteorologists continue to monitor for new developments.
Leeward Islands on alert
The Leeward Islands are bracing for Jerry’s approach, with contingency plans in place. Authorities are reinforcing infrastructure and urging residents to stock supplies.
Locals are advised to stay updated via NHC reports and comply with official recommendations to ensure safety.
Forecast and next steps
Jerry is expected to reach hurricane strength today, with stronger winds and greater impact potential. The NHC will provide frequent updates on its path and intensity. The Leeward Islands should prepare for adverse conditions, while other Atlantic regions remain under watch for potential tropical activity.