Norway and France face each other this Friday (26), at 4pm (Brasília time), at Gillette Stadium, in Foxborough, in the last round of Group I of the 2026 World Cup. With six points each and 100% success, the game decides who finishes in first place in the group and defines the path in the knockout stage.
France are favorites according to bookmakers, thanks to their deeper squad and experience in major competitions. Norway, however, is experiencing an inspired moment with Haaland and Ødegaard at a high level and promises to offer resistance.
Analysis and main guesses
The tendency is for an open game, with both teams prioritizing the attack. France has the best attack in the group so far and a solid defense, while Norway has already shown offensive power by scoring seven goals in two games.
- Main prediction: France’s victory– The French team has greater quality in the middle and attack, as well as a better record against the Norwegians. Approximate odds are around 1.60 to 1.80.
- Goal prediction: Over 2.5 goals in the match– Both teams’ games in this World Cup have been high-scoring. The combination of Haaland x Mbappé usually generates dangerous moves.
- Both teams to score: Yes– Norway has the speed to counterattack and France usually concedes goals in balanced games.
Probable lineups and highlights
Norway(4-3-3): Nyland; Pedersen, Ajer, Heggem, Wolfe; Berge, Aursnes, Ødegaard; Nusa, Sørloth, Haaland. Ståle Solbakken should maintain the starting attack. Haaland is the great weapon to explore spaces.
France: Maignan; Koundé, Upamecano, Saliba/Lacroix, Hernández; Tchouaméni, Rabiot/Koné; Olise, Dembélé/Doué, Mbappé. Didier Deschamps (or substitute) has options to run, but must use maximum strength to guarantee the lead. Mbappé and Dembélé are the main threats.
What is leadership worth?
The first placed team faces the second from Group E, while the second faces the leader of the same group. France has the advantage on goal difference and is playing for a draw, but must seek victory to maintain the momentum. Norway needs to win to dream of a more favorable position in the knockout stages.
Other interesting guesses
- Haaland or Mbappé scores at any time (good individual option).
- France wins and over 2.5 goals (highest and most attractive odds).
- Most likely exact score: France 2 x 1 Norway.
Where to watch live
Broadcast from TV Globo, SporTV and Cazé TV (YouTube). Track real time on ge.