Wings vs. Sun WNBA preview: Can Bueckers lead Dallas to first win on May 27? Odds revealed

The Dallas Wings, still searching for their first win of the 2025 WNBA season, travel to Mohegan Sun Arena on May 27 to face the equally winless Connecticut Sun. This matchup, one of seven WNBA games scheduled for the day, carries extra weight for Dallas rookie Paige Bueckers, who returns to her home state of Connecticut for the first time since leading UConn to a national championship in the 2024-25 NCAA season. Fans are expected to pack the arena, eager to see the No. 1 overall draft pick in action. The Wings, favored by oddsmakers, aim to capitalize on their roster’s talent to break their losing streak.

The game pits two struggling teams against each other, with both the Wings and Sun holding 0-4 records. Dallas has shown flashes of competitiveness, with three of their four losses coming by single digits. Connecticut, however, is reeling from a 24-point defeat to the Atlanta Dream on May 25, raising questions about their ability to gel as a rebuilding squad. The matchup offers a chance for one team to claim their first victory and build momentum in a challenging season.

• Key players to watch: Paige Bueckers (Wings), Arike Ogunbowale (Wings), Marina Mabrey (Sun).
• Venue significance: Mohegan Sun Arena, a familiar stage for Bueckers from her UConn days.
• Betting spotlight: Dallas favored at -4.5 spread, with a game total set at 160.5 points.

The stakes are high as both teams look to turn their seasons around. With Bueckers’ homecoming drawing attention, the game promises to be a pivotal moment for Dallas and Connecticut.

Homecoming for a UConn star

Paige Bueckers’ return to Connecticut has generated significant buzz among fans and analysts alike. Selected as the No. 1 overall pick in the 2025 WNBA Draft, Bueckers has quickly become a focal point for the Dallas Wings. Her collegiate career at UConn was marked by stellar performances, including a national championship and averages of 19.8 points, 4.7 rebounds, and 4.6 assists per game. Her efficiency—53.1% from the field and 42.3% from three-point range—made her a standout prospect. Now, as she steps onto the Mohegan Sun Arena court, expectations are high for the rookie to deliver a memorable performance in front of a supportive crowd.

Despite her credentials, Bueckers has faced challenges adjusting to the professional level. Through her first four WNBA games, she has averaged 13.0 points on 34.0% field goal shooting and 33.3% from beyond the arc. Her combined points, rebounds, and assists have fluctuated, with totals of 19, 32, 23, and 20 across her games, clearing the 26.5 prop line only once. Analysts note that her shooting efficiency must improve for her to consistently meet high expectations. Still, her ability to contribute across multiple statistical categories keeps her as a key player for Dallas.

The emotional weight of returning to Connecticut adds another layer to Bueckers’ performance. Local fans, many of whom followed her UConn career, are expected to create a vibrant atmosphere. Her ability to handle the pressure of this homecoming could set the tone for the Wings’ effort to secure their first win.

Betting odds favor Dallas

Oddsmakers have positioned the Dallas Wings as favorites in this matchup, with a -4.5 point spread and a moneyline of -198, according to DraftKings Sportsbook. The Connecticut Sun, listed as home underdogs at +4.5 and a +164 moneyline, face an uphill battle to keep the game close. The total points line is set at 160.5, with both over and under priced at -110, reflecting expectations of a moderately high-scoring game. These odds highlight Dallas’ perceived edge, driven by their roster’s talent and Connecticut’s recent struggles.

The Wings’ favoritism stems from their competitive showings despite their 0-4 record. Three of their losses have been by single digits, including a recent 83-75 defeat to the Atlanta Dream. In contrast, the Sun’s 79-55 loss to the same Atlanta team exposed their offensive and defensive shortcomings. Betting trends suggest caution, however, as Dallas is 1-4 against the spread in their last five games, while Connecticut has struggled at 1-4 against the spread in their recent outings.

• Spread: Wings -4.5 (-110), Sun +4.5 (-110).
• Moneyline: Wings -198, Sun +164.
• Total: 160.5 points (Over -110, Under -110).
• Betting note: The over has hit in four of Connecticut’s last six games against Dallas.

Bettors are advised to consider the Wings’ slight edge but remain mindful of both teams’ inconsistent performances early in the season.

Injury reports shape strategies

The Dallas Wings enter the game with no reported injuries, allowing them to field their full roster. This is a significant advantage, as players like Arike Ogunbowale and NaLyssa Smith can focus on their roles without needing to compensate for absent teammates. Ogunbowale, an All-Star caliber guard, has been a consistent scoring threat, averaging 28.8 points per game in the 2024 season. Her ability to create her own shot, even against tough defenses, makes her a critical component of Dallas’ game plan.

Connecticut, however, faces uncertainty with their roster. Guard Lindsay Allen is listed as day-to-day, and her potential absence could strain the Sun’s backcourt depth. Additionally, Leila Lacan is confirmed out, further limiting Connecticut’s options. These injuries may force the Sun to rely heavily on veterans like Marina Mabrey and Tina Charles, who combined for 23 points and 17 rebounds in their recent loss to Atlanta. Without key contributors, Connecticut’s ability to match Dallas’ pace could be compromised.

The injury situation underscores the importance of depth for both teams. Dallas’ healthy roster gives them flexibility to adjust lineups, while Connecticut must navigate their challenges carefully to remain competitive.

Player prop spotlight on Bueckers

One of the most intriguing betting angles for this game is Paige Bueckers’ points, rebounds, and assists prop, set at 26.5 with odds of -132 for the under at FanDuel Sportsbook. Analysts have flagged this prop as potentially overvalued due to Bueckers’ early-season struggles. Her shooting inefficiency—34.0% from the field and 33.3% from three—has limited her ability to consistently reach high combined totals. In her four games, she has only cleared this line once, making the under a popular choice among bettors.

Bueckers’ performance against the Sun will depend on her ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities. Her debut showed promise with 10 points, seven rebounds, and two assists, but her 3-for-10 shooting highlighted areas for improvement. The Sun’s defense, ranked 11th in the league, may present opportunities for Bueckers to exploit, but her recent trends suggest a cautious approach for bettors.

• Prop line: Paige Bueckers under 26.5 points, rebounds, and assists (-132).
• Season stats: 13.0 points, 34.0% FG, 33.3% 3PT.
• Game log: 19, 32, 23, 20 combined points, rebounds, and assists.
• Key factor: Sun’s 11th-ranked defensive rating could challenge Bueckers’ efficiency.

Bettors are encouraged to monitor Bueckers’ shot selection and the Sun’s defensive adjustments during the game.

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Dallas’ offensive firepower

The Dallas Wings rely heavily on their offensive talent to drive their game plan. Arike Ogunbowale, a proven scorer, remains the centerpiece of their attack. Despite going 0-for-8 from three in a recent game against the Los Angeles Sparks, she still managed 20 points, showcasing her ability to score through adversity. NaLyssa Smith, another key contributor, added 13 points and two steals in the Wings’ most recent loss, demonstrating her versatility. Maddy Siegrist, with 12 points and nine rebounds, provides additional support in the frontcourt.

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Dallas ranks 10th in offensive rating, indicating room for improvement but also potential to exploit weaker defenses. The Sun’s 12th-ranked offensive rating suggests they struggle to generate consistent scoring, which could allow Dallas to control the tempo. The Wings’ ability to maintain their offensive rhythm, particularly through Ogunbowale’s playmaking, will be crucial in securing a victory.

The team’s depth, with players like Dijonai Carrington and Jacy Sheldon contributing in supporting roles, gives Dallas an edge. Their focus will be on minimizing turnovers and capitalizing on fast-break opportunities against a Sun team that has struggled to maintain defensive cohesion.

Connecticut’s rebuilding challenges

The Connecticut Sun are in the midst of a rebuilding phase, with a roster blending veterans and young talent. Marina Mabrey, a key offensive player, has struggled to find her rhythm, shooting 28.6% from the field and 2-for-7 from three in the Sun’s recent loss to Atlanta. Tina Charles, a veteran presence, contributed 11 points and seven rebounds, but the team’s overall performance has been hampered by inefficiencies. The Sun’s 12th-ranked offensive rating and 11th-ranked defensive rating reflect their struggles on both ends of the court.

The absence of Leila Lacan and the questionable status of Lindsay Allen further complicate Connecticut’s efforts to compete. Young players like Saniya Rivers and Aneesah Morrow, both out for recent games, have yet to fully integrate into the rotation. The Sun’s reliance on Mabrey and Charles puts pressure on their supporting cast to step up, particularly against a Dallas team with multiple scoring threats.

Connecticut’s coaching staff will need to devise a strategy to slow down Dallas’ backcourt, particularly Ogunbowale and Bueckers. Their ability to force turnovers and limit second-chance points could keep the game within reach.

Historical matchups provide insight

The Dallas Wings and Connecticut Sun have a competitive history, with recent games often favoring the Sun at home. Connecticut holds a 13-3 record in their last 16 home games against Dallas, a trend that could boost their confidence despite their current form. However, the total has gone over in four of the last six meetings, suggesting that games between these teams tend to feature high-scoring outputs.

Dallas has struggled on the road, with a 0-19 straight-up record in their last 19 away games. This trend underscores the challenge they face at Mohegan Sun Arena, where the crowd’s energy could play a factor. Still, the Wings’ talent advantage and Connecticut’s injury concerns tilt the odds in Dallas’ favor for this matchup.

• Head-to-head record: Connecticut 13-3 in last 16 home games vs. Dallas.
• Scoring trends: Over has hit in 4 of last 6 meetings.
• Road struggles: Dallas 0-19 straight-up in last 19 road games.
• Key matchup: Wings’ backcourt vs. Sun’s defensive rotations.

These historical trends provide context for bettors and fans evaluating the potential outcome of the game.

Venue and broadcast details

The game will take place at Mohegan Sun Arena in Uncasville, Connecticut, a venue known for its passionate fanbase. Tip-off is scheduled for 7:00 p.m. EST on May 27, 2025, and the game will be available on WNBA League Pass. Regional restrictions may apply for viewers, but the broadcast offers an opportunity for fans across the country to watch Bueckers’ homecoming.

The arena’s atmosphere is expected to be electric, with fans eager to support both the Sun and Bueckers. The venue’s history as a stronghold for Connecticut adds intrigue to the matchup, as Dallas aims to overcome their road challenges.

Key players to watch beyond Bueckers

While Paige Bueckers draws significant attention, other players will play critical roles in the outcome. Arike Ogunbowale’s scoring prowess makes her a constant threat, capable of taking over games with her shot-making ability. NaLyssa Smith’s contributions in the paint, both offensively and defensively, will be vital against Connecticut’s frontcourt. For the Sun, Marina Mabrey’s ability to regain her shooting form could swing the game in their favor. Tina Charles, with her experience, remains a reliable option in the post.

Dallas’ depth, with players like Maddy Siegrist and Dijonai Carrington, provides versatility. Connecticut, however, will need their supporting cast to step up, especially with injuries limiting their options. The performances of these players will shape the game’s narrative and determine which team emerges victorious.

Strategic considerations for both teams

The Wings will likely focus on leveraging their offensive talent to exploit Connecticut’s defensive weaknesses. Pushing the pace and creating open looks for Ogunbowale and Bueckers will be key. Dallas must also avoid the turnover issues that plagued them in previous games, as Connecticut has shown an ability to capitalize on steals, recording 10 in a recent matchup.

For the Sun, defensive adjustments are critical. Slowing down Dallas’ backcourt and forcing less efficient shots will be a priority. Offensively, Connecticut must find ways to involve Mabrey early and utilize Charles’ presence in the paint to create scoring opportunities. Their ability to compete on the boards will also be crucial, as Dallas has struggled with rebounding in recent games, being outrebounded 43-27 in their last loss.

Fan and betting excitement builds

The anticipation surrounding Paige Bueckers’ return has amplified interest in this game, both among fans and bettors. Social media posts highlight the excitement, with fans noting the emotional significance of Bueckers playing in Connecticut. Betting markets reflect confidence in Dallas, but the Sun’s home advantage and historical success against the Wings keep the game competitive.

The combination of star power, team narratives, and betting opportunities makes this matchup a focal point of the WNBA’s Tuesday slate. As both teams vie for their first win, the outcome will hinge on execution, adjustments, and standout performances from key players.