Which country will win the World Cup? Quaest shows an increase in Brazilians’ confidence in the Seleção’s hex for 2026

Camisa seleção brasileira

Camisa seleção brasileira - Foto: ninopavisic / Shutterstock.com

Brazilians’ confidence in the men’s team’s sixth title at the 2026 World Cup has grown significantly in two months, according to a national survey by Quaest released this Thursday (11).

The survey shows that 35% of those interviewed believe that Brazil will win the title. In April, the optimism index was 25%. The portion that does not believe in victory fell from 68% to 56%. Another 9% did not know or did not want to answer.

Although the majority are still pessimistic, the data indicates a recovery in spirit with the team led by Carlo Ancelotti, who took office in 2024 and has been assembling the group for the tournament in the United States, Canada and Mexico.

Most bet on early elimination

When asked which stage Brazil should reach, 35% maintained their bet on the title. Another 23% predict elimination in the quarterfinals — exactly the stage in which the team fell in the Qatar Cup in 2022.

The survey also shows 8% betting on the semi-final, 3% on the runner-up, 10% on the round of 16 (first knockout stages) and 7% on the group stage. 14% did not know or did not respond.

Ancelotti gains more support

The positive assessment of Italian coach Carlo Ancelotti also advanced. Now, 58% approve of his work, compared to 41% in April. Disapproval fell from 29% to 14%, while 29% did not know or had no opinion.

The Seleção’s recent good performance in friendlies and the construction of a more stable environment under Ancelotti’s command help explain this improvement in fan perception.

Neymar has more support

Neymar’s possible presence on the squad list also registers greater acceptance. 53% of Brazilians approve of the number 10 call-up, compared to 38% who reject it. In October 2023, when the question was first asked, the numbers were 48% approval and 39% rejection.

The striker, who has experienced ups and downs with injuries in recent years, remains a polarizing figure, but support grew on the eve of the World Cup.

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