The Old Farmer’s Almanac released its long-range weather forecast for Thanksgiving week 2025, set for November 27. The publication, renowned for solar-based predictions with 80% historical accuracy, details diverse conditions across 18 U.S. regions. Eastern states expect mostly dry weather, while the West faces heavy rain.
Travelers planning trips should note these patterns, as 80 million Americans are projected to travel over 50 miles during the holiday.
Key regional summaries include:
- Northeast: Chilly and sunny, with light snow possible in northern New England.
- Southeast: Mild temperatures under clear skies.
- West: Persistent rain in the Pacific Northwest, impacting road travel.
The AAA anticipates 70.6 million domestic trips, primarily by car.
Eastern regions set for dry conditions
The Northeast will see below-average temperatures throughout the week. Atlantic Corridor areas from New York to Virginia start mild before turning crisp and clear by Thanksgiving Day.
Southeast patterns mirror this trend, with early chill giving way to comfortable sunshine. Outdoor gatherings face minimal disruptions from weather.
These stable conditions support smooth highway travel in the East.
Western states brace for wet weather
Pacific Northwest locations endure a cold week with widespread showers. Southern sections report heaviest rain, potentially slowing interstate traffic.
Southwest coastal zones log chilly spells with scattered precipitation. Inland deserts remain mostly dry amid warmer air masses.
Mountain elevations in the Intermountain West mix rain and snow based on altitude.
Limited snow impacts northern areas
Forecasts call for isolated flurries in northern New England and Upper Midwest. These stay confined to higher terrain, avoiding major travel routes.
Alaska maintains steady snow showers all week, requiring tire chains on highways. Road crews prepare for slick conditions.
Florida begins cooler than normal, with brief showers clearing for sunny holiday weather.
Central and Southern forecasts detailed
Midwest regions warm above average under mostly clear skies. Road trips proceed without primary weather hurdles.
Texas and Deep South hold steady warmth, with light rain confined to the Ohio Valley and eastern state lines. Dry conditions prevail for celebrations.
Hawaii logs below-normal temperatures and quick passing showers. Outdoor events encounter few interruptions.
Planning highlights include:
- East: Pack layers for variable daytime warmth.
- West: Equip vehicles with wipers and reduced speeds for rain.
- North: Check elevation snow alerts on itineraries.
Methods behind the almanac predictions
The Old Farmer’s Almanac bases forecasts on solar activity, historical weather cycles, and meteorological data. Established in 1792, it refines annual outlooks using past performance records.
Experts advise pairing these with short-term updates closer to the date. Model limitations arise from unpredictable atmospheric shifts.
The 2025 edition targets farmers, gardeners, and holiday planners with fall-to-winter guidance.
Travel considerations for the holiday
Car trips account for 89% of movements, per AAA data. Western rain zones call for brake checks and cautious driving.
Eastern dry weather aids airport operations and highways. Northern hubs monitor light snow for potential delays.
These details inform safe passage during peak travel volume.
